Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 222.014431 249.677554 280.269906 316.755633 359.272632 407.478444 466.588604
2025-03-23 180.784186 217.355388 261.317827 318.640583 392.269709 484.853075 611.989248
2025-03-30 154.424871 193.657846 243.405483 312.191520 406.567151 534.140658 724.313101
2025-04-06 137.461778 178.236096 232.192426 310.455550 423.899390 587.014434 848.343087
2025-04-13 120.483062 160.261523 214.661099 296.582144 420.645186 608.211895 927.312631
2025-04-20 113.945443 155.579691 214.482166 306.731666 453.091433 686.719685 1111.512573
2025-04-27 109.121175 152.617640 216.118977 319.301862 490.441222 778.438695 1337.942970
2025-05-04 102.049272 145.556241 210.734254 319.936805 507.976471 839.090482 1520.873799
2025-05-11 93.911962 136.110387 200.679781 311.641809 508.804986 869.626092 1650.990439
2025-05-18 87.205372 128.283780 192.393165 305.228777 511.804083 904.169269 1796.966870
2025-05-25 84.376566 126.279884 193.198042 314.332100 544.121862 1000.591750 2104.464498
2025-06-01 80.034624 121.477644 188.920275 313.874241 558.064847 1061.958091 2346.521192
2025-06-08 74.951039 115.196783 181.805782 307.830910 560.880539 1101.721523 2550.560876
2025-06-15 71.521935 111.430383 178.705674 308.954301 578.456423 1177.620655 2876.353105
2025-06-22 67.274389 105.968562 172.174888 302.784340 579.803273 1216.272079 3109.886914
2025-06-29 64.084067 102.102246 168.171104 301.110309 590.572199 1279.535324 3440.236979
2025-07-06 59.500623 95.522500 158.775020 287.747012 573.603527 1270.606291 3537.977241
2025-07-13 58.451224 95.104398 160.659002 297.523952 610.720022 1408.662411 4186.478509
2025-07-20 57.734936 95.220423 163.525749 309.628832 655.205307 1577.241892 5030.396046
2025-07-27 55.644812 92.695833 161.149103 310.240159 671.789422 1671.110744 5633.969910
2025-08-03 52.705478 88.435211 155.110741 302.252839 665.658377 1696.725724 5965.605594
2025-08-10 50.175227 84.804289 150.082069 296.076410 663.444637 1734.242060 6372.340976
2025-08-17 49.421467 84.472761 151.587482 304.843543 701.956406 1910.104896 7540.609349